I said this would be a key metric, and, truth be told, I did not quite expect it to move in this direction, the positive direction. But so far that is the picture that is emerging (excerpt):
"U.S. military officials said this week that Pakistan's operations in Swat and South Waziristan were already having a measurable effect on the amount of equipment and violence spilling over the border into Afghanistan."
There's a definite impact, and I think it almost can't be overstated," said Col. John Spiszer, who is the commander of the 3rd Brigade Combat Team of the 1st Infantry Division, a unit responsible for security operations in northeastern Afghanistan along the Pakistani border.
Spiszer said Taliban elements appeared to have concluded that they could no longer afford to send as many fighters or weapons into Afghanistan because they may be needed to fight the Pakistani army in tribal regions that the militants have used as safe havens since the Sept. 11 attacks.
Among militant groups along the border in Afghanistan, "weapons are drying up. Money is drying up," Spiszer said via a satellite interview with Pentagon reporters. "There's only so many resources to go around. . . . If they're having to use them to fight against the Pakistan military and the [paramilitary] Frontier Corps, they certainly aren't of use here." "